TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties) of the Arsenal vs Newcastle match scheduled for April 25, 2026, with all three possible outcomes (Arsenal win, Newcastle win, draw) clearly defined across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and match recordsCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalties.
- If Arsenal wins, the Arsenal win market resolves YES and the Newcastle win and draw markets resolve NO.
- If Newcastle wins, the Newcastle win market resolves YES and the Arsenal win and draw markets resolve NO.
- If the match ends in a draw, the draw market resolves YES and the Arsenal win and Newcastle win markets resolve NO.
- Exactly one outcome market will resolve YES; the other two will resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed and resolved based on the rescheduled match result.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's logic implies all markets would resolve based on the cancellation event, though this scenario is not explicitly detailed.
- Resolution Timing: Polymarket specifies that if official Premier League statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match on April 25, 2026, with official Premier League records as the primary source.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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