TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of both Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC scoring during their upcoming Premier League match. Currently, the consensus probability of “Both Teams to Score” is 99.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Predict. Resolution will be based on official statistics published on premierleague.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the final result – and therefore market resolution – will be determined by the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on September 6, 2026.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for September 6 at 11:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for September 6 at 11:30 AM ET.
Prediction markets often price in nuances sportsbooks may smooth out, such as in-game momentum or weather impacts. For this market, the implied probabilities reflect real-time trader positioning, while sportsbooks apply their own adjustments. This can create pricing gaps, especially for less liquid outcomes, so comparing both gives a fuller picture of expected outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user trading activity, while Predict may apply different liquidity models or user bases. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For the Arsenal vs. Chelsea match markets, factors such as differing trader sentiment, platform-specific volume of $2,198,192, and varying market depth can all create price gaps. Additionally, each platform might update odds on different schedules, reflecting fresh information at slightly offset times. These mechanics mean that Polymarket and Predict can show distinct valuations even for the same underlying question.