This event group covers an Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC Premier League match scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET. Markets include spread bets (Arsenal/Chelsea at -1.5 and -2.5 goal margins), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match, timing window (90 minutes plus stoppage time), official source (premierleague.com), and edge case handling (postponement, cancellation).
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on premierleague.com
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets (Arsenal -1.5, Chelsea -1.5, Arsenal -2.5, Chelsea -2.5) resolve based on goal differential: Arsenal wins by 2+ goals resolves Arsenal for -1.5; Chelsea wins by 2+ goals resolves Chelsea for -1.5; Arsenal wins by 3+ goals resolves Arsenal for -2.5; Chelsea wins by 3+ goals resolves Chelsea for -2.5; all other outcomes resolve to the opposing team.
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold, Under if below.
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal, No if either team scores zero.
Resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned mid-play), resolution follows the official final score as published by premierleague.com at the time of abandonment.
Extra Time and Penalties: Markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and the official final score is published on premierleague.com. For postponed matches, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.