TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - Halftime Result
Volume:
$35,222
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers halftime results for the Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth EPL match scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are offered across platforms: Arsenal leading at halftime, a draw at halftime, or Bournemouth leading at halftime. Resolution depends on the official score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses a mutually exclusive three-way outcome structure (exactly one resolves Yes), while Kalshi frames three independent Yes/No markets that logically cannot all resolve Yes simultaneously. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction in how the same halftime outcome is represented across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi markets are equivalent to Polymarket's. Kalshi's three markets appear to be independent Yes/No contracts, but only one condition can occur at halftime. Clarify with Kalshi whether these markets are meant to be mutually exclusive or if there is a structural error. Until resolved, treat these as non-equivalent instruments.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets representing mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Exactly one resolves Yes (Arsenal leading, Draw, or Bournemouth leading); the other two resolve No. Resolution source is official statistics from governing body or credible consensus within 24 hours. Key Quote: 'If Arsenal FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets, each independently resolving Yes if its condition is met. Structurally, all three are framed as independent resolutions, yet only one halftime outcome can occur. No explicit fallback source or 24-hour window specified. Key Quote: 'If Arsenal is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bournemouth is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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