TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Army will win their college football game against Temple by more than 3.5 points. Currently, the probability of Army winning by over 3.5 points is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Army vs Temple game, as defined by the game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026. Keep a close watch on the outcome of the Army vs Temple game itself on September 25, 2026, as the final score will directly determine market resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Army vs Temple college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if Army's or Temple's victory margin exceeds the respective threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Army-Temple game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of contracts will adjust, ultimately converging towards a consensus view of the likely spread.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Army versus Temple football game. The market will settle to 100 for the winning spread, and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will forfeit their investment. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the Army-Temple spread market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment and impact the price of contracts. Unexpected weather conditions leading up to or during the game could also play a role. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, potentially causing the market to move quickly.