TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Army Black Knights vs. American Eagles
Volume:
$233,659
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Army Black Knights and American Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-9.5 American), and total points (O/U 144.5) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Army win and American win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline uses mutually exclusive categorical resolution (Army Black Knights vs American Eagles), which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the actual market terms are verified directly on the platform. The provided source data shows both outcomes resolving to Yes, which is impossible. For settlement purposes, use Polymarket's moneyline as the ground truth. Spread and Total markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Army wins resolves to Yes; If American wins resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both be Yes. Quote: 'If Army wins the Army at American men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If American wins the Army at American men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses categorical resolution: Army Black Knights win resolves to 'Army Black Knights'; American Eagles win resolves to 'American Eagles'. Spread market resolves to American Eagles if margin >= 10 points, else Army Black Knights. Total market resolves to Over if combined score >= 145, else Under. All logic is mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Army Black Knights win, the market will resolve to Army Black Knights. If the American Eagles win, the market will resolve to American Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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