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406,019

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Army Black Knights vs. American Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Army Black Knights vs. American Eagles

Volume:
$233,659

American

 - Kalshi

American - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

American

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$9,024
$58,049
N/A
N/A
$45,347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Army

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,326
$107,137
N/A
N/A
$70,872
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,556
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 144.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,837
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Army Black Knights vs. American Eagles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,080
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Army Black Knights and American Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-9.5 American), and total points (O/U 144.5) outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Army win and American win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline uses mutually exclusive categorical resolution (Army Black Knights vs American Eagles), which is logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the actual market terms are verified directly on the platform. The provided source data shows both outcomes resolving to Yes, which is impossible. For settlement purposes, use Polymarket's moneyline as the ground truth. Spread and Total markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Army wins resolves to Yes; If American wins resolves to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both be Yes. Quote: 'If Army wins the Army at American men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If American wins the Army at American men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market uses categorical resolution: Army Black Knights win resolves to 'Army Black Knights'; American Eagles win resolves to 'American Eagles'. Spread market resolves to American Eagles if margin >= 10 points, else Army Black Knights. Total market resolves to Over if combined score >= 145, else Under. All logic is mutually exclusive and resolvable. Quote: 'If the Army Black Knights win, the market will resolve to Army Black Knights. If the American Eagles win, the market will resolve to American Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.