TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 1:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Armenia and Montenegro. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams during regular time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Armenia vs Montenegro UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) exceed a specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing principle across all markets is that only goals scored during regular time count toward the resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Armenia vs Montenegro match, though direct comparisons are not always straightforward.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of different goal totals in the Armenia vs Montenegro game. The highest volume contracts indicate the most popular predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Armenia vs Montenegro match, as officially recorded by the governing football association. No pre-match or in-play adjustments will be made; the result will be determined solely by the goals scored during regulation time, plus any added time as determined by the referee. Traders will then be settled based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified total.
Several factors could influence the Armenia vs Montenegro goals market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are expected, could also shift expectations. Pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts, if it deviates significantly from the current market consensus, might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns elsewhere, could impact trading volume and prices in this market.