TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the Armenia vs. Montenegro UEFA Nations League match will be over or under 2.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the “Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5” outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported on the UEFA website: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on September 28 at 12:00 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during that fixture.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving expectations for the Armenia vs. Montenegro match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Armenia vs. Montenegro match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also impact traders’ beliefs. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in market consensus, potentially leading to price movements.