TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Armenia vs. Montenegro
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Armenia vs. Montenegro?

Volume:
$2,164,734

Montenegro

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 1:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montenegro

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$485,491
N/A
N/A
$203,641
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montenegro

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$245,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MON

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$13,286
$151,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ARM

View
1%
31%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$203
$108,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Armenia

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$437,927
N/A
N/A
$263,860
Settled
No
polymarket

Armenia

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$369,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
30%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$170
$38,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$268,937
N/A
N/A
$129,084
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Armenia vs. Montenegro)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Armenia will win its UEFA Nations League soccer match against Montenegro on September 28, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Armenia winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will be resolved using Official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match itself on September 28, 2026, to see how the game unfolds and ultimately resolves this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, focusing on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and share a consistent fallback mechanism for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Official match statistics from UEFA are the primary source for resolution.
  • If official data is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Postponed matches will keep markets open until completed.
  • Cancelled matches resolve 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the scheduled match time if official data is delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Armenia and Montenegro.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Armenia vs Montenegro professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Armenia win, Montenegro win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time plus stoppage time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie under the same conditions, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Armenia and Montenegro.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Armenia vs. Montenegro match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus expectation based on trading volume of $2,164,734 and 24-hour volume of $1,727,597. This allows users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the likelihood of different results. The dashboard provides a cross-platform view, combining data from both venues to give a more comprehensive picture of market sentiment surrounding the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to divergences, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate diverse information and expert opinions. However, both types of odds aim to predict the same underlying probabilities, and significant discrepancies can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. This market’s odds are influenced by real-money bets, offering a unique perspective.