TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:46 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Arkansas and Utah in a college football game, focusing specifically on how many field goals each team successfully kicks. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of made field goals during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals recorded by each team during the Arkansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Any field goals made during overtime periods count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of made field goals required for resolution, with separate markets for both Arkansas and Utah, and varying thresholds (1+, 2+, and 3+) for each team.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If significant differences emerge, arbitrage opportunities may present themselves for traders who can capitalize on the price variations. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total field goal outcomes for the Arkansas-Utah game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the strength of conviction behind various predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the final field goal total.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total number of field goals scored by both the Arkansas and Utah teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total field goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence the Arkansas-Utah field goal market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team, particularly quarterbacks or kickers, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact scoring expectations. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks may sway trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or betting patterns could also drive price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.