TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Utah will win the college football game against Arkansas by more than 13.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Utah winning by over 13.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Arkansas vs Utah college football game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 12, 2026, as the final point differential will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Arkansas vs Utah college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold; if Utah wins by more than the stated margin, that Utah outcome market resolves to Yes, and all Arkansas outcome markets resolve to No. Conversely, if Arkansas wins by more than the stated margin, that Arkansas outcome market resolves to Yes, and all Utah outcome markets resolve to No. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartial treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Arkansas versus Utah game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the actual final score difference, and contracts corresponding to the correct spread will be worth 100, while others will expire at zero. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game. News regarding key player injuries for either Arkansas or Utah would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to move, reflecting new information or analysis regarding the game's likely outcome.