TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Utah. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game within a specific timeframe, focusing solely on the second quarter's performance. The outcome depends entirely on the points scored during that period, regardless of the overall game result.
If Utah wins the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas vs Utah college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas vs Utah college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas vs Utah college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of public interest. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, which team will win the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. This mechanism allows the market to aggregate diverse opinions and potentially outperform traditional forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas vs Utah game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game will likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, especially with lower volume. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before resolution.