TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Arkansas St. vs Memphis college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, with three possible outcomes. If Memphis scores the first touchdown—whether offensively, defensively, or via special teams, even in overtime—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The same applies if Arkansas St. scores first. If neither team scores a touchdown throughout the entire game, including overtime, the market titled 'No team scores a TD' resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team dynamics and player health, since traders can react instantly to breaking news. While sportsbooks may lag or smooth probabilities for broader betting appeal, this market captures sharper, crowd-sourced insights that can diverge noticeably from standard lines.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to cross the goal line during the live game determines the result, and the platform updates this market immediately after official confirmation.
Injuries to key offensive players, changes in game weather conditions, or major coaching decisions could shift this market. Strong pre-game practices or media commentary highlighting one team’s offensive strengths may also influence trader sentiment. As kickoff nears, any last-minute lineup updates or shifts in broader sports betting odds will likely cause price swings on Kalshi.