TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Arkansas State and Memphis in the first half of their college football game. Outcomes depend on whether Memphis or Arkansas State achieves specific point differentials during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Arkansas State vs Memphis college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook spreads due to different participant dynamics and information sets. Traders in this market may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as perceived team momentum or weather conditions. The current odds show a distinct angle compared to typical sportsbook listings, offering a unique perspective on the likely 1H spread outcome between the teams.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market based on their expectations of whether Memphis will win the first half by more than 9.5 points. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate sentiment, with volume of $45,699 indicating the level of interest and activity around the prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential for the first half, and will match the parameters defined in this market.
In the coming weeks, key signals like injury reports, coaching strategies, and player performance trends could shift expectations for the first half spread. As Sep 6, 2026 approaches, any last-minute roster changes or weather updates may also influence trader behavior. Media coverage and pre-game analytics will be closely watched, potentially creating volatility in this market as new information emerges.