TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars
Volume:
$134,855
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Southern Jaguars scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi publishes 13 redundant over/under markets with thresholds spanning 132.5 to 168.5 points, while Polymarket offers four O/U markets clustered between 150.5 and 154.5. The threshold ranges do not align, creating potential arbitrage or confusion for traders holding positions across both platforms.Hero Tip:
Identify which specific Kalshi threshold matches your trading thesis. Polymarket's O/U markets are tighter and more liquid; use them as the primary reference. If you hold Kalshi positions, note that a final score of 155 would resolve YES on all Polymarket O/U markets but only on Kalshi markets with thresholds below 155 (i.e., markets 1-11). Cross-platform hedging is possible but requires precise threshold tracking.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 13 separate over/under markets on combined team points. Thresholds: 132.5, 135.5, 138.5, 141.5, 144.5, 147.5, 150.5, 153.5, 156.5, 159.5, 162.5, 165.5, 168.5. Each resolves YES if combined score exceeds threshold. Quote: 'If Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Southern University collectively score over 159.5 total points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Four over/under markets with thresholds at 150.5, 151.5, 152.5, and 154.5. Each resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1 (e.g., 154.5 threshold triggers on 155+ points). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Southern Jaguars combine to score 155 or more points in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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