TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Braves
Volume:
$112,533
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Alcorn State Braves scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals ranging from 146.5 to 149.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical tautology where both possible outcomes (Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins OR Alcorn State wins) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is fundamentally unresolvable due to contradictory logic. Use Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals which all follow standard college basketball resolution mechanics. Confirm final score including overtime from NCAA.com before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alcorn St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical contradiction where any game outcome results in Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions' if they win, or 'Alcorn State Braves' if they win. Spreads (-1.5, -2.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Totals (146.5-149.5) resolve based on combined points. All logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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