TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a college football game between Arkansas Baptist and Houston Christian. Markets ask whether Arkansas Baptist or Houston Christian will win the game, with tie and cancellation scenarios defined.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas Baptist and Houston Christian, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas Baptist" if Arkansas Baptist win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Christian" if Houston Christian win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas Baptist and Houston Christian, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas Baptist" if Arkansas Baptist win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Christian" if Houston Christian win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, as reflected on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s odds represent a crowdsourced probability, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true event likelihood. Differences can also arise from varying levels of information available to each group and differing risk appetites among bettors and traders. The current volume of $457 suggests active interest in this matchup.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions reflected in trading activity. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket may have a higher concentration of knowledgeable basketball fans, while Predict might attract more general prediction market participants. These differing compositions can result in distinct price movements and probability assessments for this market. The current 24-hour volume is $103.