TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of touchdowns scored by the Arizona team in their upcoming football game against Washington State. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi—is 100% that Arizona will score over 3.5 touchdowns, according to data resolved by https://www.ncaa.com/. This aggregated view provides a unified perspective on this question, consolidating insights from multiple prediction platforms. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona and Washington State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the Arizona versus Washington State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Washington State wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Arizona wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differences in market design—such as the specific question being asked or the available trading instruments—can lead to varying valuations. For example, one platform might focus on the final score, while the other concentrates on a point spread. These nuances contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are attempting to predict the same event.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each team's chances. Significant news coverage, expert analysis, or even social media sentiment could also contribute to market movements. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and influence prices, particularly with the current volume of $2,353,387.