TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona vs. Washington State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs. Washington State?

Volume:
$2,353,387

Arizona

 - Kalshi

Arizona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$843,288
N/A
N/A
$442,135
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arizona vs. Washington State

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$116,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,149,459
N/A
N/A
$672,365
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 47.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$39,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 19.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total number of touchdowns scored by the Arizona team in their upcoming football game against Washington State. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi—is 100% that Arizona will score over 3.5 touchdowns, according to data resolved by https://www.ncaa.com/. This aggregated view provides a unified perspective on this question, consolidating insights from multiple prediction platforms. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets resolve to a binary outcome (either team wins), while Polymarket markets resolve to the specific winning team or a 50/50 split for ties/cancellations.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for more precise trading opportunities. Kalshi markets offer limited informational value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Arizona or Washington State wins the game. Provides no information about *which* team wins.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to either 'Arizona' or 'Washington State' if one team wins. Resolves to 50/50 if the game ends in a tie or is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Arizona and Washington State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Arizona versus Washington State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Washington State wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Arizona wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differences in market design—such as the specific question being asked or the available trading instruments—can lead to varying valuations. For example, one platform might focus on the final score, while the other concentrates on a point spread. These nuances contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are attempting to predict the same event.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each team's chances. Significant news coverage, expert analysis, or even social media sentiment could also contribute to market movements. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and influence prices, particularly with the current volume of $2,353,387.