TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in a college football game between Arizona and Washington State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific threshold of total points scored by both teams combined in the Arizona vs Washington State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any given market, if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share a common secondary rule regarding game postponement: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have bet on. The markets cover a wide range of scoring thresholds, from just over 29.5 points to more than 71.5 points, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of offensive performance in the game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by biases or attempts to balance their book. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows anyone to trade, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. While sportsbook odds are readily available, the dynamic pricing of this market can offer a different perspective on the likely outcome of the game, potentially identifying discrepancies or opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final points total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for 'Over' or 'Under', the price adjusts accordingly, signaling the market's collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, creating a real-time assessment of the game's potential scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Arizona vs. Washington State game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for determining the winning side of this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries for either Arizona or Washington State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, even those unrelated to on-field performance, could contribute to changes in the Arizona-Washington State points total.