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Closed: Sep 26, 11:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming college football game between Arizona and Washington State. It focuses solely on the final 15 minutes of regulation play, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on the scoring dynamics during that specific segment of the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the fourth quarter of regulation play in the Arizona vs Washington State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Washington State scores more points in that quarter, the 'Washington St. wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Arizona scores more points, the 'Arizona wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Note that only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the corresponding price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The current price represents the probability of an outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by a variety of factors, including news, injuries, and overall market sentiment regarding the Arizona vs Washington State game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 4th quarter of the Arizona vs Washington State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on the final score and officially distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the 4th quarter winner.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Arizona or Washington State would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about weather conditions, which could affect the game's style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and alter the odds for this market before Sep 27, 2026.