TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Arizona and Washington State specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Arizona and Washington State exclusively in the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market where a specified team must win the quarter by a margin greater than the stated points, resolution occurs only if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time; otherwise, the market resolves to a fair price. All outcomes consider solely the points scored during the second quarter, with no regard to the full-game result. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 2nd quarter of the Arizona vs Washington State football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The outcome will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by a reputable sports data source. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted spread matched the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Washington State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi.