TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Arizona and Washington State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to speculate on how dominant either team might be in the opening half.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Arizona vs Washington State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For Arizona markets, resolution occurs if Arizona leads by more than the specified margin at halftime; for Washington State markets, resolution occurs if Washington State leads by more than the specified margin at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official halftime result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds defined in individual markets.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and ensure a profit margin, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. It's common to see this market adjust quickly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, potentially leading to differences compared to fixed sportsbook odds. However, as the event approaches, the prices on Kalshi and sportsbook odds often converge as more information becomes available and public opinion solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the first half of the Arizona vs Washington State game, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises prices, indicating a higher perceived probability, while increased selling pressure lowers prices. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Arizona vs Washington State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle to 0. The official result will be sourced from recognized sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency in the settlement process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Arizona or Washington State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks could influence trading activity on Kalshi, as traders react to broader market perceptions of the game's likely outcome.