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Arizona vs St. Louis: Extra Innings
kalshi
predict

Arizona vs St. Louis: Extra Innings

Volume:
$1,677

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

 - Predict

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 24, 10:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$14,045
$1,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Game goes to extra innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group covers two distinct prediction markets on the same MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and St. Louis Cardinals scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT. Kalshi's market resolves on whether the game goes to extra innings, while Predict's market resolves on the winner of the game (or 50-50 in case of postponement, cancellation, or tie).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms measure different outcomes: Kalshi resolves on extra innings occurrence (binary), while Predict resolves on game winner (ternary with 50-50 tie option). These are separate prediction targets, not contradictory resolutions of the same event.Hero tip: Treat these as two independent markets. Kalshi's YES outcome (extra innings) is compatible with either Predict outcome (either team can win in extra innings). A Predict resolution does not invalidate or determine Kalshi's resolution. Confirm the actual game result and inning count from official MLB sources before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary extra innings market. Resolves YES if game goes to extra innings, NO if game ends in regulation (9 innings). No mention of postponement, cancellation, or tie handling.
  • Predict: Winner-based market with postponement/cancellation protocol. Resolves to winning team name or 50-50 if postponed (remains open until completion), canceled (no makeup), or ends in tie. Primary source is official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, with credible reporting as fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If Arizona and St. Louis go to extra innings in the Arizona vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 24, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for June 24 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs without a built-in house edge. This market may show materially different odds than traditional sports betting sites because traders are directly exposed to the outcome rather than betting against a bookmaker. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook lines can reveal where smart money sees value or disagreement on the likelihood of extra innings.

Kalshi and Predict may price this outcome differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, so the marginal buyer or seller can shift prices independently. Lower liquidity on one platform may also amplify price swings from large trades. Monitoring both venues helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or confirm whether consensus is genuinely shifting or if divergence reflects temporary imbalances in order flow.

Several factors may shift trader positioning before the game begins. Injury reports or roster changes to either team's pitching staff could alter expectations for a close, low-scoring contest more likely to reach extra innings. Weather conditions at game time—wind, temperature, humidity—affect ball carry and scoring pace. Betting line movement at sportsbooks often precedes prediction market repricing, so monitoring sharp action can signal where informed bettors are leaning. Late-breaking news on player availability or umpire assignments may also trigger repricing as traders update their models.