TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona vs Seattle: Home Runs
kalshi

Arizona vs Seattle: Home Runs

Volume:
$199,856

Julio Rodríguez: 1+

 - Kalshi

Julio Rodríguez: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 1:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Julio Rodríguez: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,928
N/A
N/A
$19,921
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.P. Crawford: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,969
N/A
N/A
$8,274
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Luke Raley: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,500
N/A
N/A
$10,574
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geraldo Perdomo: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,678
N/A
N/A
$7,292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.P. Crawford: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,822
N/A
N/A
$3,903
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Randy Arozarena: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,883
N/A
N/A
$18,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Randy Arozarena: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,088
N/A
N/A
$18,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Julio Rodríguez: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,515
N/A
N/A
$15,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Corbin Carroll: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,817
N/A
N/A
$13,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Colt Emerson: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,628
N/A
N/A
$11,163
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Naylor: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,975
N/A
N/A
$10,773
Settled
No
kalshi

Ketel Marte: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,031
N/A
N/A
$9,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Young: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,847
N/A
N/A
$6,710
Settled
No
kalshi

Geraldo Perdomo: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,811
N/A
N/A
$6,560
Settled
No
kalshi

Dominic Canzone: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,375
N/A
N/A
$5,343
Settled
No
kalshi

Jose Fernandez: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,958
N/A
N/A
$2,794
Settled
No
kalshi

Dominic Canzone: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,623
N/A
N/A
$2,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Ildemaro Vargas: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,342
N/A
N/A
$2,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Raley: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,955
N/A
N/A
$1,955
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Moreno: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,863
N/A
N/A
$1,863
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Naylor: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,545
N/A
N/A
$1,545
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Moreno: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
$1,485
Settled
No
kalshi

Jhonny Pereda: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
$1,176
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Waldschmidt: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$964
N/A
N/A
$964
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrian Del Castillo: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$710
N/A
N/A
$710
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

A professional baseball game between Arizona and Seattle scheduled for May 29, 2026, where the home run output of several players will be monitored throughout the contest.

Frequently asked questions

The Arizona vs Seattle: Home Runs dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for home run outcomes in this matchup. You can monitor live probability shifts, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume as traders adjust positions based on lineup news, weather, and ballpark conditions. The dashboard displays the current leading outcome and allows you to explore all available contracts, helping you understand how the prediction market is pricing various home run scenarios for this game.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets aggregate continuous belief updates from participants. For Arizona vs Seattle home run outcomes, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing, though each venue operates independently with distinct liquidity and participant bases.

The Arizona vs Seattle: Home Runs market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official statistics recorded for the game, including all home runs hit by both teams during regulation play. Once the game concludes and official box scores are published, the market settles based on which outcome occurred, and traders' positions are credited or debited accordingly. Early resolution may occur if the game is called or postponed under specific conditions.

Several catalysts can shift Arizona vs Seattle home run odds before May 30, 2026. Lineup announcements, injuries to key power hitters, or roster changes will trigger immediate repricing. Weather forecasts—particularly wind direction and temperature—significantly impact home run likelihood at the ballpark. Starting pitcher confirmations and bullpen availability also matter, as do recent performance trends and head-to-head matchup history. Breaking news about player status or game conditions will cause traders to rapidly adjust positions, creating volatility in contract prices.