TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Arizona vs San Francisco: Winning Margin
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$15,613

San Francisco by 1 to 6

 - Kalshi

San Francisco by 1 to 6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 7:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco by 1 to 6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,245
N/A
N/A
$2,109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco by 15 or more

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,791
N/A
N/A
$3,246
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco by 7 to 14

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,420
N/A
N/A
$3,646
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,098
N/A
N/A
$2,419
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona by 15 or more

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona by 1 to 6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona by 7 to 14

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Arizona and San Francisco, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible results based on how many points separate the winning team from the loser. The event resolves based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome of the Arizona versus San Francisco professional football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, by evaluating the point differential between the two teams. If San Francisco wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by any margin from 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Arizona wins by between 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. All outcomes are based on the full game result, including any overtime periods, and the event is purely observational, with no official affiliation to the governing league or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Arizona-San Francisco margin market tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $11,609 with a total volume of $15,613. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likely winning margin in the upcoming game. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific contest. The price reflects the probability of different margin outcomes, updated continuously as traders buy and sell contracts.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may be influenced by biases or the need to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering more favorable odds than those found at sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that margin occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific margin, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, and the price movements provide insights into how the collective intelligence of traders views the potential outcome of the Arizona-San Francisco game.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the settlement of contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the margin will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The market's resolution is dependent on the official result of the game and is not subject to subjective interpretation or debate.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either the Arizona or San Francisco teams could also drive price movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react quickly. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Sep 27, 2026.