TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Christian McCaffrey will score one or more touchdowns in the Arizona vs San Francisco professional football game. Currently, the probability of Christian McCaffrey scoring 1+ touchdowns is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether George Kittle scores at least 3+ touchdowns in the game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026, following the conclusion of the Arizona vs San Francisco matchup.
All markets resolve based on the total touchdowns scored by specified players during the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player scores the minimum required touchdowns as stated in the market title (e.g., 1+, 2+, or 3+). If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market outcome is determined solely by the actual touchdowns scored during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their money behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public perception differs from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing risk appetites between market participants and sportsbook customers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of touchdowns scored in the Arizona-San Francisco game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of touchdowns, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Arizona-San Francisco game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions shortly after the game concludes. It’s important to monitor the official game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the Arizona-San Francisco touchdowns market. Injuries to key players on either team, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring potential. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or game-day conditions could cause the market to react quickly, leading to price fluctuations and increased volume.