TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Arizona and San Francisco. The outcomes depend on whether designated players receive a minimum number of rushing attempts. Settlement hinges on actual game performance, with special rules for players who are active but don't see any action.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified minimum number of rushing attempts (11+, 14+, or 17+ for Christian McCaffrey; 9+, 12+, or 15+ for Jeremiyah Love), the market settles to 'Yes'; otherwise, it settles to 'No'. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a player is listed as active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These provisions ensure fair resolution even in edge cases where a player is present but does not participate in offensive plays.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse perspectives. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes sportsbooks have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, as game day approaches, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and more traders participate in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing attempts total for the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by the NFL, will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the range of total rushing attempts will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. It’s important to monitor game updates leading up to the final whistle.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected rushing volume. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow are predicted, could also shift expectations towards a more pass-heavy offensive approach. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also move this market. Finally, any adjustments to betting lines at sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions.