TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and San Francisco. Each market corresponds to a different player and a minimum reception threshold that must be met or exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by the specified player in the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Markets are structured around different reception thresholds for each player, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution to 'Yes'. The governing body's official statistics will be used to determine reception counts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk tolerance, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices based on their expectations. Traders can offer to buy or sell contracts representing different reception totals for the game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more trades occur, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely number of receptions in the Arizona vs San Francisco game. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in these predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for both teams in the Arizona vs San Francisco game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi after the game concludes and the data is verified. The market will close prior to the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly wide receivers and quarterbacks, would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing games and therefore reception totals. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game progresses, live updates and real-time statistics will undoubtedly cause fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.