TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by specified Arizona or San Francisco players in the game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. Each market has a unique threshold (e.g., 40+, 50+, etc.) for each player, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the player meets or exceeds their respective threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market can react more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still emerge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus, creating a dynamic and informative representation of expectations for the Arizona vs San Francisco game.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for both the Arizona and San Francisco teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game’s completion. The total combined receiving yards will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst, as their absence would directly impact the expected receiving yardage. Changes in weather conditions, particularly forecasts for heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift the market, favoring a run-heavy offensive approach. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or coaching strategies could also lead to price adjustments. Any significant information impacting offensive capabilities will likely be reflected in trading activity.