TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
Attention will be on whether Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, or Marvin Harrison Jr. makes a notable receiving play in the Arizona versus San Francisco matchup. The outcome hinges on whether any of these players records their longest reception of the game beyond their respective yardage thresholds.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records a longest reception exceeding the stated yardage threshold in the game. Should a player be active but never take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price established before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest reception recorded during the game.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a player’s chances.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official game statistics, specifically identifying the player with the longest reception in yards during the Arizona versus San Francisco game. The official NFL game data will be used to determine the winner, and all contract holders will be paid out accordingly based on the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability, such as a star receiver being ruled out, would likely cause a rapid reassessment of probabilities. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the game can also impact trading volume and price movements within this market.