TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in a football game between Arizona and San Francisco. It examines whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the match, offering multiple benchmarks for performance evaluation.
The event resolves based on whether specified quarterbacks achieve defined passing yard thresholds during the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and yardage mark, resolving to Yes if the player records at least the specified number of passing yards. If a referenced player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles solely based on the total passing yards actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific threshold or player involved.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as the market attempts to establish a consensus view on the likely passing yard total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific yardage range, the price increases, indicating a higher probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the cost to own one unit of that outcome, and it reflects the collective belief of all traders on the platform regarding the likelihood of that passing yard total being achieved.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Arizona vs San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and which expire worthless. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout amounts once the data is confirmed, allowing for a clear and transparent resolution process based on the actual game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing yardage. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Even general public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.