TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the named quarterback—Brock Purdy or Jacoby Brissett—in the Arizona vs San Francisco Professional Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified player must achieve the stated minimum number of completions (16+, 21+, or 26+ for Purdy; 17+, 22+, or 27+ for Brissett). If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual completions recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each market, allowing for varied resolution outcomes based on individual performance thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to the perceived likelihood of various completion totals, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing completion statistics from the Arizona vs San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual number of passing completions achieved during the game. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as any significant changes in the game’s dynamics could influence the final outcome and the market’s resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health or playing status for either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing game, could also move the market. In-game performance, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, could also lead to significant shifts in the price of contracts. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from football experts could influence trader sentiment and impact volume.