TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Arizona vs San Francisco contest, the focus is on whether either squad scores via a defensive play or special teams action. These touchdowns may happen at any time, including overtime, and a single instance from either team satisfies the condition.
If Arizona or San Francisco record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. However, initial sportsbook lines may offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s always wise to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive touchdown being scored. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. The current price indicates the market’s consensus expectation for whether a defensive touchdown will occur in the Cardinals-49ers game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether any defensive touchdowns were scored during the Arizona Cardinals versus San Francisco 49ers game. Official game statistics from reliable sports news sources will be used to determine the result. The market will then settle based on whether a defensive touchdown occurred, paying out to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding key defensive players on either team—injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time—would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of a defensive touchdown. Game-day developments, like early turnovers or a dominant defensive performance in the first half, could also cause substantial shifts in the market price. Any information that alters the perceived probability of a defensive score will move this market.