TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks whether both the Arizona and San Francisco teams score specific point thresholds in their football match scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different minimum point requirement that both teams must meet for the outcome to be considered successful. The markets account for points scored in overtime and include provisions for game postponements.
These markets resolve based on whether both Arizona and San Francisco score at least a specified number of points in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. Four separate thresholds are defined: 14, 21, 28, and 35 points. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' both teams must independently meet or exceed the respective point threshold. Points scored during overtime count toward the total. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or sentiment within the prediction market. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders possess insights not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or vice versa. It’s important to note that the dynamics of each are different, with prediction markets allowing for continuous price discovery.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome to the question of whether both teams will score in the Arizona vs San Francisco game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Arizona and San Francisco teams score at least one point during the scheduled game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine the payout for traders holding contracts, reflecting the accuracy of the market’s predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or San Francisco teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could move the market. Finally, as the game approaches, any information regarding team strategies or tactical adjustments could influence traders’ beliefs and, consequently, the price.