TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Francisco will win its pro football game against Arizona. Currently, the probability of San Francisco winning on Kalshi is 94.0%, while Arizona winning is at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 27, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team that wins the designated professional football game. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook lines, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or that the market possesses unique insights not yet reflected in conventional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arizona vs San Francisco game, as reported by a trusted and widely-recognized sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the eventual winner. The final price at resolution will determine the payout for each contract held.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even significant news coverage could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even influential analyst opinions, can also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market.