TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
For Arizona and San Francisco, the key question is whether both teams manage to score in the fourth quarter of regulation. Every type of scoring play counts, but only points from the standard game periods contribute—overtime is irrelevant.
If Arizona and San Francisco both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors like team statistics, injuries, and weather conditions. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own insights and information. While there can be correlation, differences often emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the 4th quarter of the Arizona vs San Francisco game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'yes' outcome. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, suggesting a belief that both teams will not score. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, following the conclusion of the Arizona vs San Francisco game. The outcome will be determined by whether both teams successfully score at least one point during the fourth quarter of the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. Traders holding contracts representing the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing. The final score will be the determining factor for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or San Francisco teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or kicking game, could also move the market. Unexpected shifts in team performance during other games leading up to this event, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Public sentiment and overall betting trends are also important signals to watch.