TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first half leader and the final game winner (or tie) to match predefined conditions for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game result, including any overtime periods. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the full game result must match exactly. If either condition is not met, the market resolves as 'No.' Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time allow the markets to remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome combinations listed in the markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Polls and analysts currently favor a particular outcome, but this market provides a dynamic view of what informed traders believe will happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, and risk tolerance among participants in each venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and efficient expression of predictions regarding the Arizona vs San Francisco game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Arizona vs San Francisco game, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted source, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about key players or coaching decisions could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and drive changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.