TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,422
Markets across
30,383
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:30 AM EST
Kalshi
The Arizona Diamondbacks versus San Diego Padres baseball game scheduled for September 25 will continue into extra innings if neither team secures a winning run within the initial nine innings.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, making it a real-time indicator of sentiment surrounding the Arizona vs San Diego game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Arizona vs San Diego game, including any extra innings played. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the direction of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup for either team, or weather conditions impacting the game could all cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance by key players during the game itself, or significant momentum swings, would also likely move the market. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Arizona vs San Diego game can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.