TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Diego will win its professional baseball game against Arizona. Currently, the probability of San Diego winning on Kalshi is 95.0%, while Arizona winning is at 5.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the final result of the Arizona vs San Diego match-up, with resolution expected around September 27, 2026.
If Arizona wins the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego wins the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, resulting in different probabilities for the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price isn't determined by a single entity but emerges from the interactions of numerous individuals, each contributing their own assessment of the Arizona vs San Diego game's potential result. The current volume indicates considerable interest in this event.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Arizona vs San Diego game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any winning contracts will be settled accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching decisions or team performance could also play a role. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the Arizona vs San Diego game and its eventual resolution.