TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona vs San Diego
kalshi

Who will win Arizona vs San Diego?

Volume:
$3,262,754

Arizona

 - Kalshi

Arizona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,497,993
N/A
N/A
$970,615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,764,761
N/A
N/A
$1,151,960
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Arizona and San Diego, scheduled for September 25, 2026. Currently, the probability of Arizona winning on Kalshi is 96.0%, while San Diego winning is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, with resolution conditions detailed in the resolution source. Traders should closely watch the game itself on September 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome and resolution by the estimated resolution date of September 26, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the professional baseball game between Arizona and San Diego originally scheduled for September 25, 2026, at 9:40 PM EDT. If Arizona wins the game, its market resolves to Yes; if San Diego wins, theirs resolves to Yes. Postponements or delays will keep the market open until the rescheduled game finishes, as long as the new date is within two days of the original schedule. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price per Kalshi’s rules. Kalshi states it holds no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Arizona vs San Diego game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $3,262,754, with $3,253,506 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the game, offering insight beyond traditional polling or analysis.

Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than initial sportsbook lines, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a common benchmark for comparison, and can sometimes differ significantly from what’s priced in here.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Arizona vs San Diego game as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official reporting around the resolution date to understand how the market will be settled.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team performance are major catalysts. News regarding team strategies, weather conditions, or even public sentiment could also shift the odds. Significant betting activity, such as a large volume of contracts being purchased for a specific outcome, would also cause noticeable movement. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.