TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Arizona and San Diego, scheduled for September 25, 2026. Currently, the probability of Arizona winning on Kalshi is 96.0%, while San Diego winning is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, with resolution conditions detailed in the resolution source. Traders should closely watch the game itself on September 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome and resolution by the estimated resolution date of September 26, 2026.
The market resolves based on the professional baseball game between Arizona and San Diego originally scheduled for September 25, 2026, at 9:40 PM EDT. If Arizona wins the game, its market resolves to Yes; if San Diego wins, theirs resolves to Yes. Postponements or delays will keep the market open until the rescheduled game finishes, as long as the new date is within two days of the original schedule. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price per Kalshi’s rules. Kalshi states it holds no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than initial sportsbook lines, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a common benchmark for comparison, and can sometimes differ significantly from what’s priced in here.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Arizona vs San Diego game as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official reporting around the resolution date to understand how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team performance are major catalysts. News regarding team strategies, weather conditions, or even public sentiment could also shift the odds. Significant betting activity, such as a large volume of contracts being purchased for a specific outcome, would also cause noticeable movement. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.