TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona vs Miami: Spread
kalshi

Arizona vs Miami: Spread

Volume:
$474,128

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 3:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$299,472
N/A
N/A
$174,067
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,116
N/A
N/A
$55,095
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59,692
N/A
N/A
$51,351
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,535
N/A
N/A
$10,066
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,465
N/A
N/A
$7,768
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,348
N/A
N/A
$3,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Marlins wins by over 4.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,499
N/A
N/A
$991
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 11, 2026, with outcomes based on the margin of victory for either team.

Kalshi

This event measures the final run differential between Miami and Arizona in their June 11, 2026 matchup. Miami's victory margins are evaluated at thresholds of 3.5, 2.5, and 1.5 runs, with each market resolving to Yes if Miami wins by more than the specified margin. Similarly, Arizona's victory margins are evaluated at thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 runs, with each market resolving to Yes if Arizona wins by more than the specified margin. The outcome is determined by the final score differential at the end of the complete game.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Arizona vs Miami: Spread event on Kalshi. You can monitor live price movements, historical odds charts, and 24-hour trading volume to see how the market is pricing each outcome. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, allowing you to compare prediction market sentiment against sportsbook spreads and assess whether the market views Arizona or Miami as favored. This data updates continuously as traders place new positions leading up to the event resolution on Jun 11, 2026.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-money trader conviction rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized belief about the actual outcome. For Arizona vs Miami: Spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market consensus differs from professional oddsmakers, signaling potential value or consensus shifts as game day approaches.

On Kalshi, Arizona vs Miami: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the spread outcome will occur. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of the specified outcome. As new information emerges—injury reports, weather, betting action, or analyst commentary—the contract price adjusts in real time. Kalshi's order book and continuous pricing mechanism allow traders to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window until resolution.

The Arizona vs Miami: Spread market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final spread outcome of the game between Arizona and Miami. The specific criteria—whether Arizona covers, Miami covers, or a push occurs—are defined by the market terms at contract inception. Once the game concludes and the official final score is recorded, the market settles based on whether the predetermined spread condition is met, and all open positions are closed at their final value.

Key catalysts for Arizona vs Miami: Spread include player injuries or roster changes, weather conditions on game day, team performance in recent matchups, and sharp betting action from professional bettors. Coaching decisions, lineup adjustments, and momentum shifts in either team's season can also influence market pricing. Media narratives, expert predictions, and live betting action during the game itself may cause rapid repricing. Traders monitor these signals to adjust their positions, so any significant news about either team's preparation or health status typically triggers immediate market movement.