TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball matchup between two teams features multiple thresholds tracking the combined run total scored by both teams during the first five innings of play on June 11, 2026.
Resolution is based on the combined run total scored by Arizona and Miami through the completion of five full innings in their game originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, or 6.5 runs), and resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided resolution occurs within two days of the original scheduled date.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders. For the Arizona vs Miami First 5 Innings Total, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the market perceives value, though direct parity is rare due to different fee structures and risk management approaches.
On Kalshi, the Arizona vs Miami First 5 Innings Total is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations of the combined runs scored in the first five innings. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move based on order flow and new information—such as lineup changes, weather updates, or recent team performance—as traders buy and sell contracts throughout the market window. Kalshi's continuous order book allows prices to adjust fluidly until the market closes at Jun 11, 2026.
The Arizona vs Miami First 5 Innings Total market resolves at Jun 11, 2026, after the completion of the first five innings of the game. The outcome is determined by the official combined run total recorded by the league for that period. Once the fifth inning concludes and the official score is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual total meets, exceeds, or falls short of the specified threshold.
Several factors can shift odds for the Arizona vs Miami First 5 Innings Total before the game begins. Key starting pitchers' health, recent offensive trends, weather conditions (wind direction and speed affect fly balls), and late-inning roster changes all influence early-inning run expectations. Injury reports, lineup announcements, and betting action from sharp traders can trigger rapid price movements. Once the game starts, early at-bats, defensive plays, and scoring opportunities in innings one through four will drive final market adjustments.