TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Arizona Diamondbacks will defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers in their scheduled matchup on Kalshi. Arizona is currently priced at 61.0%, while Los Angeles D is at 40.0%, according to Kalshi's assessment. The market resolves based on the official result of the professional baseball game. Watch for the game's conclusion on July 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, when the final outcome will determine the market resolution.
Resolution is determined by the final result of the Arizona vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market may show different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, sometimes highlighting value or consensus shifts in how the matchup is perceived.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the current market price reflects the most recent matched trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from near zero to near 100, representing the implied probability of each outcome. As new information surfaces or trading volume shifts, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing rate. The transparency of the order book means you can see depth and liquidity at different price levels.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score or result of the matchup. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift with breaking news, injury reports, or other developments. After resolution, all shares will be settled according to the confirmed outcome, and traders' profits or losses will be finalized.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, roster changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and rest days can also influence trader sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price moves as the market reprices. As game time approaches, late-breaking developments and expert commentary may drive final adjustments. Monitoring sports news and team updates is essential for anticipating how this market might shift before resolution.