TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. Each market evaluates whether a team achieves specific yardage milestones, offering various levels of difficulty for bettors to assess.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Arizona or Los Angeles in their game scheduled for September 13, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team reaches or exceeds the designated yardage threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) during the match. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not begin within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of specific yardage outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. It’s common to see convergence between the two, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing motivations and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Buying a contract is equivalent to betting that the total yardage will exceed the contract’s value, while selling is a bet that it will fall short. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news and information.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage achieved by both the Arizona and Los Angeles teams combined will be used to determine the winning contracts. This will be based on official statistics released after the game’s completion. The market’s resolution will reflect the actual, verified game statistics, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact offensive potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, can also shift expectations. Pre-game news regarding coaching strategies or personnel changes could also play a role. Finally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can impact trading activity and move the market price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.