TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of defensive players in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether designated teams reach certain thresholds of such tackles during the match.
The markets resolve based on the total number of sacks achieved by either Arizona or Los Angeles Chargers in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold (ranging from 2 to 6 sacks) for each team, with a 'Yes' outcome if the team meets or exceeds their respective threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on team strengths and weaknesses. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, presenting a potential opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team sack totals are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the winning outcome. The number of sacks achieved by each team during the game will be the deciding factor, and the market will settle based on whether Los Angeles C achieves 2+ sacks or not. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and official data is released.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be significant, as they directly impact a team’s ability to generate sacks. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a strong passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trading activity and move the market.