TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of rushing attempts by specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. The outcomes depend on whether designated players meet or exceed certain rushing attempt thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player records the exact number of rushing attempts or more as defined in each market's primary rule. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both players involved in the game.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the same information. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular range of rushing attempts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and evolving sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of potential game outcomes based on trader activity.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both teams in the game will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing attempts total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be significant. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting inclement conditions, could also impact the expected rushing frequency. Late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or game plans could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any updates on team performance or statistical trends leading up to the game could cause the market to react and adjust its pricing accordingly.