TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the seventh point first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the sequence of scoring milestones rather than the overall game outcome, focusing on the pace and strategy of early gameplay. The resolution depends purely on the timing of when each team reaches seven points, regardless of the final score.
The event determines whether Los Angeles C, Arizona, or neither team is the first to score seven points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market resolves based on which team reaches seven points first in the full game, including any overtime periods. If neither team achieves this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves as Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not begin within this window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to reach 7 points first than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of that contract increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if the corresponding team reaches 7 points first. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team reaches 7 points first during the game between Arizona and Los Angeles. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance during the game itself, such as a dominant early lead by one team, would also likely cause rapid price movements. Additionally, broader factors like weather conditions or referee assignments could be considered by traders. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for making informed trading decisions in this market.