TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard thresholds for specific quarterbacks in a football game, resolving based on whether they meet or exceed designated yardage marks. Each threshold represents a distinct level of performance, allowing participants to speculate on the player's potential output.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback records passing yards meeting or exceeding the specified threshold in the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold markets for both Justin Herbert and Jacoby Brissett, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the yardage level specified.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to capitalize on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentive structures of each venue—sportsbooks aim to profit, while prediction market participants aim to accurately forecast the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume at a particular yardage range suggests greater confidence in that outcome, influencing the price accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage statistics for the Arizona vs Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official passing yards recorded by the NFL will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The contracts representing the yardage range that encompasses the actual passing yards will pay out, while those outside that range will expire worthless. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout amounts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting heavy rain or strong winds. Updates on wide receiver availability or defensive strategies employed by either team could also impact expectations for passing yardage. Finally, public sentiment and betting activity on sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading behavior on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments as traders react to broader market trends.