TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how often their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. It highlights the defensive challenges faced by the quarterbacks and the potential impact of their mistakes on the game's outcome.
The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks, Justin Herbert or Jacoby Brissett, record a specified number of passing interceptions in the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular quarterback and a minimum threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+). If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing interceptions recorded during the game. These rules ensure that the outcome reflects actual in-game performance while accounting for potential changes in quarterback participation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. If sportsbooks initially underestimate or overestimate the probability of a certain outcome, the prediction market may adjust more quickly to incorporate new information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as the market converges on a collective assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each outcome, and the price movements reflect shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective forecast of the group.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Arizona versus Los Angeles game will determine the result. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to verify the outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the number of interceptions will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health or playing status for either team, such as an injury report, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are unfavorable for passing, could also affect the market. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by the coaching staff, or analysis suggesting a shift in offensive or defensive tactics, could lead to traders reassessing the probability of interceptions. Unexpected news or events impacting key players could also cause volatility.