TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing completions achieved by specific quarterbacks in a professional football game. The outcome depends on whether the designated player meets or exceeds a set completion threshold during the match. Markets resolve based on confirmed game statistics.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified quarterback records the exact number of passing completions or more in the designated game. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a snap occurs—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based strictly on the completions recorded. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the named player's performance, regardless of other players' statistics or game outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, as both offer unique perspectives on the likely outcome of the Arizona versus Los Angeles matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific completion total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own expectations for the game, creating a dynamic pricing environment. This allows for a real-time assessment of the market's collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing completion statistics from the Arizona versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved during the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the official result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any potential factors that could impact the final completion total as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds or rain, could also affect passing game strategies and completion rates. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also influence trader behavior. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or team strategies will be closely watched as the game draws nearer, potentially leading to significant price fluctuations in this market.